Dropshipping Profit Calculator: Margin & Ad Budget
Test whether a US dropshipping order can fund its ads after supplier cost, delivery, payment fees, refunds and chargebacks. There is no dropshipping fee, so every cost line is yours to edit.
By Berend Vrakking, Founder · Updated 15 October 2026 · ~9 min read
The calculator
Your results
At $39.99 you keep $3.62 per sale (10.0% margin). You can spend at most $15.62 on ads per order before losing money (break-even ROAS 2.56).
- Profit per order
- $3.62
- Break-even ROAS
- 2.56
- Target ROAS
- 394%
- Profit margin
- 10.0%
- Net markup on COGS
- 25.0%
- Max break-even ad spend
- $15.62
- Total fees
- $1.46
- Payment processing
- $1.46
Explore the break-even ROAS calculator
US dollars, one item per order. Selling price and shipping charged exclude sales tax. Tax only increases the basis of fee lines marked payment; it never becomes seller revenue. Fee lines are rounded half up to whole cents before summing. All fee presets are editable estimates, not a settlement quote.
Illustrative starting values. No sign-up required. Results update as you edit.
Platform and payment fees
Edit any preset to match your account.
Key takeaways
Dropshipping profit per order = retained revenue − item cost − shipping cost − payment processing fee − overhead − return handling net of supplier recovery − chargeback fees − ad spend. Retained revenue is item price plus shipping charged, reduced by the expected refund and chargeback rate; sales tax is not revenue but raises the base of the payment processing fee. Starting values: payment processing fee: 2.9% + $0.30 on item price, shipping charged and sales tax, presets 2.9% + $0.30, 2.7% + $0.30, 2.5% + $0.30, 3.49% + $0.49; ad spend $12.00 per order; overhead $0.00 per order; 8% of orders returned with $2.00 handling each; supplier recovers 0% of the item cost on returns; 1% of orders lost to chargebacks at $15.00 each.
- There is no universal dropshipping fee. The payment preset is the Shopify Basic card example, 2.9% + $0.30, and every fee is editable.
- A returned order loses the sale and the payment fee. Enter the share of the item cost your supplier takes back, or leave it at 0% for the conservative case.
- A chargeback takes the sale back after the item has shipped, with no supplier recovery, and adds a dispute fee. Stripe and WooPayments each list $15.
- Your maximum ad spend per order is the contribution before ads. Keeping a margin lowers it and raises the ROAS you need.
Which costs does dropshipping have?
Use the supplier’s landed item cost and the actual delivery charge. Keep customer-paid shipping separate from the supplier’s bill, and allocate subscriptions or order-processing apps through overhead. A supplier discount does not automatically offset a higher customer-acquisition cost.
| Fee line | Starting preset | Basis and scope | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Payment processing | 2.9% + $0.30 | US domestic online card example. Applied to item price, shipping charged and sales tax. | Shopify pricing |
A returned order loses its revenue, and the payment fee is not refunded. Whether you also lose the supplier cost depends on the supplier: enter the share of the item cost it takes back, or leave it at 0% for the conservative case. Add the handling cost per return, such as a return label or a restocking charge.
A chargeback is different from a refund: the bank takes the sale back, the item has already shipped and no supplier recovery applies, and the processor adds a dispute fee. Stripe and WooPayments each list $15 per dispute. Enter the rate of lost disputes you actually see, not the share of customers who ask.
Fees last checked 15 October 2026. Next review due 15 January 2027. Fees change: presets are US examples, so edit them to match your account.
Dropshipping worked example
A $39.99 product costs $14.50 from the supplier plus $4.50 for delivery to the customer. The scenario spends $12 on ads, expects 8% of orders returned with $2 of handling each and a supplier that takes nothing back, and loses 1% of orders to chargebacks with a $15 dispute fee. The payment preset is the Shopify Basic card example, not a fee charged by dropshipping itself.
Illustrative data. Starting calculator values, one item per order.
- Order revenue before returns
- $39.99 + $0.00 = $39.99
- Payment processing
- $1.46
- Total fees
- $1.46
- Retained revenue
- $39.99 × (1 − 8% returns − 1% chargebacks) = $36.39
- Contribution before ads
- $36.39 − $14.50 COGS − $4.50 delivery − $1.46 fees − $0.00 overhead − $0.16 return handling − $0.15 chargeback fees + $0.00 supplier recovery = $15.62
- Profit after ads
- $15.62 − $12.00 = $3.62
- Profit margin
- $3.62 ÷ $36.39 = 10.0%
- Net markup on COGS
- $3.62 ÷ $14.50 = 25.0%
- Max break-even ad spend
- $15.62
- Break-even ROAS
- $39.99 ÷ $15.62 = 2.56
- Target ROAS for 15% retained margin
- 394%
At $39.99 you keep $3.62 per sale (10.0% margin). You can spend at most $15.62 on ads per order before losing money (break-even ROAS 2.56).
How do returns and chargebacks change dropshipping profit?
The starting order has 8% of orders returned and 1% lost to chargebacks. A return loses the sale and, unless the supplier takes the item back, the supplier cost: $3.62 profit with no recovery, $4.20 when the supplier recovers half the item cost and $4.78 when it recovers all of it. A chargeback loses the sale and adds the dispute fee, and no supplier recovery applies.
| Scenario | Retained revenue | Profit after ads | Break-even ROAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Returns, supplier recovers nothing | $36.39 | $3.62 | 2.56 |
| Returns, supplier recovers half the item cost | $36.39 | $4.20 | 2.47 |
| Returns, supplier recovers the full item cost | $36.39 | $4.78 | 2.38 |
| No returns or chargebacks | $39.99 | $7.53 | 2.05 |
| Chargebacks at 2% of orders | $35.99 | $3.07 | 2.65 |
| Returns at 15%, no recovery | $33.59 | $0.68 | 3.15 |
Illustrative data. Computed from the starting calculator values with the same model.
What is the maximum ad spend per order?
Your ceiling is the contribution before ads: $15.62 per order at the starting values, which is a break-even ROAS of 2.56. Spend that much and the order earns nothing. To keep a margin, subtract it from the budget and the ROAS you need rises, as the table shows.
| Retained margin you want | Maximum ad spend per order | Target ROAS |
|---|---|---|
| 0% | $15.62 | 256% |
| 10% | $11.98 | 334% |
| 15% | $10.16 | 394% |
| 20% | $8.34 | 479% |
| 30% | $4.70 | 850% |
Illustrative data. Computed from the starting calculator values with the same model.
Mistakes to avoid when calculating Dropshipping profit
| Mistake | What it does to profit | Fix |
|---|---|---|
| Entering the supplier’s item price without delivery | The order looks profitable until the shipping bill arrives. | Enter the supplier’s delivery charge in shipping cost. |
| Assuming the supplier refunds every return | You lose the sale, the delivery and the payment fee even when the item comes back. | Enter the share of the item cost the supplier actually takes back. |
| Ignoring chargebacks until they arrive | Each lost dispute costs the full sale plus a dispute fee, with the item already gone. | Enter the rate of lost disputes your payment provider reports. |
| Reading supplier-to-retail markup as profit margin | A high markup can still leave little profit after delivery and ads. | Look at the profit margin on retained revenue. |
ROAS, POAS and Dropshipping fees
A dropshipping margin looks wide until delivery, payment fees, refunds and chargebacks come out. Revenue ROAS counts none of them, so a campaign can hit its target and still lose money. POAS divides contribution before ads by ad spend: a POAS of 1 covers the ads and leaves nothing over.
How this calculator works
US dollars, one item per order. Selling price and shipping charged exclude sales tax. Tax only increases the basis of fee lines marked payment; it never becomes seller revenue. Fee lines are rounded half up to whole cents before summing. All fee presets are editable estimates, not a settlement quote.
Retained revenue = (selling price + shipping charged) × (1 − returns % − chargebacks %). The returns scenario retains all original COGS, fees and outbound shipping, and adds handling cost × returns %. It assumes no recovered stock value and no refunded fees, unless a page lets you enter a supplier recovery share. Use zero returns for the ordinary completed-order calculation.
Profit = retained revenue − COGS − shipping cost − total fees − overhead − return handling − ads. Profit margin = profit ÷ retained revenue. Net markup = profit ÷ item COGS. This is profit after entered costs, before unallocated business costs and income taxes.
Maximum break-even ad spend = contribution before ads. Break-even ROAS = original item and shipping revenue ÷ contribution before ads, shown as a plain number. Target ROAS = original revenue ÷ (contribution before ads − retained revenue × desired margin), shown as a percentage. A zero or negative budget has no feasible ROAS. Pre-return advertising revenue sets the ROAS basis and retained revenue sets the margin basis: match the revenue basis to your advertising reports.
Pages with extra inputs add them to the same sum. Monthly costs are divided by orders per month and added to overhead. Supplier recovery adds back that share of the item cost on returned orders. A chargeback removes the sale, adds the dispute fee and recovers nothing.
- Profit = retained revenue − COGS − shipping cost − fees − overhead − return handling − ads.
- Break-even ROAS = order revenue ÷ contribution before ads, as a plain number.
- Target ROAS = order revenue ÷ (contribution before ads − retained revenue × desired margin), as a percentage.
Starting values on this page: selling price $39.99, shipping charged $0.00, sales tax $0.00; item cost $14.50, shipping cost $4.50, overhead $0.00 per order, ad spend $12.00 per order; 8% of orders returned with $2.00 handling each; supplier recovers 0% of the item cost on returns; 1% of orders lost to chargebacks with a $15.00 dispute fee each; payment processing fee: 2.9% + $0.30 on item price, shipping charged and sales tax, presets 2.9% + $0.30, 2.7% + $0.30, 2.5% + $0.30, 3.49% + $0.49; desired profit margin 15%.
Not modelled: supplier minimum orders, import duties, app subscription tiers and fraud losses beyond the chargeback rate you enter.
Dropshipping fee and profit questions
How do I calculate dropshipping profit?
What fees does dropshipping charge?
How much can I spend on dropshipping ads?
What happens to profit when a supplier does not take returns back?
Is product markup the same as dropshipping margin?
Are these Dropshipping fees current for 2026?
Next step: check your advertising headroom
Check your refund scenario in this calculator, then use the free break-even ROAS and POAS calculators to compare the required return with your advertising results. If you advertise these products on Google Shopping, Product Segmentation helps you compare their economics.
- Break-even ROAS calculator
Free: check the return your contribution requires.
- POAS calculator
Free: compare contribution with advertising spend.
- See product-level POAS in Product Segmentation
- Book a demo
Video call and access to a demo account.
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About this calculator
Written by Berend Vrakking, founder of Product Metrics. Fee presets come from the official pages linked above, checked on 15 October 2026, with the next review due 15 January 2027. The calculator is free and needs no sign-up.